BlackRock Frontiers Investment Trust plc

About this investment trust

Capital at risk. The value of investments and the income from them can fall as well as rise and are not guaranteed. Investors may not get back the amount originally invested.

The Company’s investment objective is to achieve long term capital growth by investing in companies domiciled or listed in, or exercising the predominant part of their economic activity in, less developed countries. These countries (the “Frontiers Universe”) are any country which is neither part of the MSCI World Index of developed markets nor one of the eight largest countries by market capitalisation in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index as at 1 April 2018: being Brazil, China, India, Korea, Mexico, Russia, South Africa, and Taiwan.

Why choose it?

Frontier markets are smaller countries at an early stage of economic and political development. These economies don’t simply follow global markets but are subject to their own internal dynamics. Their growth potential often depends largely on their domestic outlook, which means they can thrive independently of the wider global economy. This Trust targets smaller, under-researched markets such as Vietnam, Egypt, Romania, and Chile. For investors, this can be a source of diversifying long-term income and growth.

Capital growth values may fluctuate, and the level of income may vary from time and is not guaranteed.

Suited to…

Investors looking to target the world’s youngest economies, which present exciting opportunities but may be volatile. This Trust suits those with a high appetite for risk, able to invest for the medium to long term.

What are the risks?

• Capital at risk. The value of investments and the income from them can fall as well as rise and are not guaranteed. Investors may not get back the amount originally invested.
• Overseas investment will be affected by movements in currency exchange rates.
• Emerging market investments are usually associated with higher investment risk than developed market investments. Therefore the value of these investments may be unpredictable and subject to greater variation.
• Investment strategies, such as borrowing, used by the Trust can result in even larger losses suffered when the value of the underlying investments fall.
• Frontier markets are generally more sensitive to economic and political conditions than developed and emerging markets. Other factors include greater 'Liquidity Risk', restrictions on investment or transfer of assets and failed/delayed delivery of securities or payments to the Fund. There may be larger fluctuations to the value of your investment and increased risk of losing your capital.

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ESG Integration

The fund noted above does not commit to sustainable criteria nor does it have a sustainable investment objective.

BlackRock considers many investment risks in our processes. In order to seek the best risk-adjusted returns for our clients, we manage material risks and opportunities that could impact portfolios, including financially material Environmental, Social and/or Governance (ESG) data or information, where available. See our Firm Wide ESG Integration Statement for more information on this approach and fund documentation for how these material risks are considered within this product, where applicable.

Fund manager commentary

30 September 2024

Comments from the Portfolio Managers

Please note that the commentary below includes historic information in respect of the performance of portfolio investments, index performance data and the Company’s NAV and share performance.

The figures shown relate to past performance. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current or future results.

The Company’s NAV rose by 2.5% in September, outperforming its benchmark the MSCI Frontier + Emerging Markets ex Selected Countries Index (“Benchmark Index”) which returned +2.4%.

For reference, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index was up by 6.7% while the MSCI Frontier Markets Index gained +0.6% over the same period. All performance figures are on a US Dollar basis with net income reinvested.¹

Emerging markets rallied +6.4% in September, significantly outpacing developed markets (DM) (+1.7%), driven by expectations of a monetary stimulus by the Chinese government and the Federal Reserve (Fed) started its easing cycle with a 50bps cut. This combination of the two is a compelling setup for emerging markets (EM) to outperform over the medium-term.

Security selection across different markets did well in September. The largest contributor to returns was our holding in Sea Ltd (+20.2%), a Singapore based global consumer internet company, which continued to rise on the back of strong Q2 operating results. Exposure to the largest Islamic bank in Indonesia, Bank Syariah (+15.9%), was also additive on the back of solid operating results as well as inventor appetite for carry markets. Another stock that did well was CP All (+13.9%), the convenience store operator in Thailand. The Thai government recently announced consumer support initiatives to help boost domestic consumption and mitigate financial pressures on households, which benefitted consumer-oriented stocks. Indonesian retailer Mitra Adiperkasa (+20.2%) also helped performance.

On the flipside, Kaspi (-19%), the Kazakh e-commerce and payments platform, was the biggest detractor over the month. The stock declined following a short seller report that alleged that the company has Russian business ties and may face sanctions. Whilst the headline is negative, we view several of the accusations to be either factually incorrect and or lacking in understanding of Kazakhstan. For instance, Kazakhstan has a sizable Russian population which would be represented in Kaspi's user base. The related party transactions covered either occurred prior to IPO or were well documented and understood. We visited Kazakhstan to get a sense for how the regulators and government view the company in lieu of the short-seller report and retain conviction. Bank of Georgia (-15.6%) also detracted, on the back of concerns around the direction of government policy ahead of the upcoming elections, particularly concerning the country's relationship with Russia and its democratic future. Not owning Saudi Arabian Mining Company also detracted on the margin.

We made few changes to the portfolio in September. We increased our exposure to Hungary by topping up our holding in OTP Bank as we believe the country will benefit from a potential resolution in the war between Russia and Ukraine. We took profits and reduced our exposure to Halyk Bank to manage energy exposure.

As higher global rates continue to feed through into the real economy, we expect some moderation of demand in developed markets. The commencement of the Fed's easing cycle should be net positive for EM assets, particularly amid reassurance that the 50bps cut was to pre-emptively manage slowing growth and labour dynamics. We continue to see improving activity levels in some frontier and smaller emerging markets. With inflation falling across many countries within our universe, rate cuts have started to materialise in some countries. This is a good set up for domestically oriented economies to see a cyclical pick up. We remain positive on the outlook for small emerging and frontier markets relative developed markets, and we find significant value in currencies and equity markets across our investment opportunity set. Our investment universe, in absolute and relative terms, remains under-researched and we believe this should enable compelling alpha opportunities.

¹ MSCI as at 30 September 2024.

Unless otherwise stated all data is sourced from BlackRock as at 30 September 2024.

Risk: Reference to the names of each company in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies

BlackRock Frontiers Investment Trust plc will not invest more than 10% of its gross assets in other closed-ended listed investment funds.

Portfolio manager biographies

Capital at risk. The value of investments and the income from them can fall as well as rise and are not guaranteed. Investors may not get back the amount originally invested.

Sam Vecht, CFA, Managing Director, is Head of Emerging Europe, Frontiers and Alternative Strategies and a portfolio manager within BlackRock’s Fundamental Equity Group. Mr. Vecht is lead portfolio manager for the Emerging Markets Equity Strategies Fund and also co-manages the Latin America, Emerging Europe, Emerging Frontiers Hedge Fund, Frontiers, and Asia Pacific Absolute Return strategies. He is also a research pod leader of the EMEA & Frontiers pod.

Mr. Vecht's service with the firm dates back to 2000, including his years with Merrill Lynch Investment Managers (MLIM), which merged with BlackRock in 2006.

Mr. Vecht earned a BSc degree, with honours, in international relations and history from the London School of Economics.

Emily Fletcher, CFA, Managing Director, is a portfolio manager and a research analyst on the Global Emerging Markets Equities Team within BlackRock’s Fundamental Equity Group. She is responsible for co-managing the BlackRock Frontier Investment Trust, the Emerging Frontier hedge fund, Emerging Markets Sustainable Equity and the Emerging Market Equity Income strategies.

Mrs. Fletcher joined the Emerging Markets team in 2008 and since then has covered African, ASEAN, Frontier and Latam equities and is based in London.

Prior to moving to her current role in 2008, Ms. Fletcher was a member of the Multi-Asset Portfolio Strategies (MAPS) group and the UK Equity team. She joined BlackRock as an Analyst in 2006.

Mrs. Fletcher earned a BA degree and an MSc degree in experimental and theoretical physics, both from the University of Cambridge in 2005 and 2006, respectively.

Sudaif Niaz, Director, is a portfolio manager and research analyst on the Global Emerging Markets Equities Team within the Fundamental Active Equity division of BlackRock's Active Equities Group. He is responsible for co-managing the BlackRock Frontier strategies, and serves as research analyst on the Emerging Frontier and Asia Pacific hedge funds as well as the broader Emerging Market and Asian strategies. Sudaif is a member of the EMEA, Frontier and ASEAN research pods, based in London. Mr. Niaz joined the Emerging Markets team in 2015 and since then has covered Middle-East, Eastern Europe, and ASEAN. He previously worked in New York for Perella Weinberg Partners and Caravel Management. He has also spent time in Asia and Africa sourcing and investing growth capital. Sudaif holds a BA in Economics from Northwestern University in Chicago and an MBA from INSEAD in France/Singapore.

Board of directors

All the Directors are independent of the Investment Manager and are members of the Audit & Management Engagement Committee.

Katrina Hart (Chair with effect from 6 February 2024) (date of appointment 1 October 2019) currently a non-executive director of Keystone Positive Change Investment Trust plc, Montanaro Asset Management Ltd, JPMorgan UK Smaller Companies Investment Trust plc and of AEW UK REIT plc. She was formerly a non-executive director of Polar Capital Global Financials Trust Plc and Premier Miton Group plc. Mrs Hart spent her executive career in investment banking, advising, analysing and commentating on a broad range of businesses. Initially working in corporate finance at ING Barings and Hawkpoint Partners, she then moved into equities research at HSBC, covering the General Financials sector. Latterly, Mrs Hart headed up the Financials research teams at Bridgewell Group plc and Canaccord Genuity, specialising in wealth and asset managers.

Stephen White (Chairman of the Audit and Management Engagement Committee) (appointed 13 July 2016) qualified as a Chartered Accountant at PwC before starting a career in investment management. He has more than thirty five years' experience of managing investment portfolios, most notably twenty as Head of European Equities at F&C Asset Management and ten as Head of European and US equities at British Steel Pension Fund. Stephen is a Non-Executive Director of Henderson EuroTrust plc, JP Morgan European Smaller Companies Trust plc, Polar Capital Technology Trust plc, Henderson EuroTrust plc and Brown Advisory US Smaller Companies PLC. He was formerly a non-executive director of Aberdeen New India Investment Trust plc.

Hatem Dowidar (date of appointment 7 February 2024) is the Group CEO of e&. He joined the e& Group in September 2015 as Group Chief Operating Officer and was appointed as CEO, International in March 2016, before becoming Group CEO in 2020. He is currently a board member of Etihad Etisalat Company (Mobily), Maroc Telecom, e& Egypt, Careem Technologies, Abu Dhabi Chamber of Commerce & Industry and GSM Association. He is also a member of the United Nations International Governance Forum Leadership Panel.

Liz Airey (Senior Independent Director with effect from 6 February 2024) (date of appointment 10 December 2021) is currently Chairman of abrdn UK Smaller Companies Growth Trust plc, Chairman of Rolls-Royce UK Pension Fund Trustees Limited, a non-executive Director of Kirk Lovegrove & Company Limited and a member of the Investments Committee of the Royal Horticultural Society. Within the past five years, she has also been non-executive Chairman of Jupiter Fund Management plc, a non-executive Director of Tate & Lyle plc, a non-executive Director of Dunedin Enterprise Investment Trust plc and a member of the Investment Committee of the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales. In her executive career she was Finance Director of Monument Oil and Gas plc, a post she held from 1990 until the sale of the company to Lasmo plc in 1999.

Lucy Taylor-Smith (date of appointment 10 December 2021) was previously Global Head of Strategy with Standard Chartered Bank based in Singapore. Prior to this, she was Chief Strategy Officer and a member of the Executive Committee at Manulife Asia, and Chairman of Manulife Singapore, as well as Chief Strategy Officer and Board Director for Prudential Corporation Asia. She also spent 13 years with UBS advising companies on a wide range of strategic initiatives and corporate transactions encompassing mergers and acquisitions, equity and debt capital markets deals, culminating in her position as Executive Director of Corporate Broking.