The BlackRock Way

Our framework for blending returns

01-Feb-2022
  • BlackRock Investment Institute

Updating our framework

We launched our framework to better identify and blend returns when building strategic asset allocations (SAA) in 2018. The Covid-19 shock provided something of a natural experiment that enabled us to assess our framework during a market selloff and rebound of unprecedented speed and scope. The results – see here – prompt us to reiterate the main tenets of our framework while we also incorporate sustainable investing. We underscore that there is no one-size-fits-all answer: Investors should seek varied return sources in cost-efficient ways depending on their objectives and constraints.

Bottom line:  We double down on our original conclusions.

  • The approach to blending return drivers is a whole-portfolio one.
  • Allocating to alpha can have high governance costs
  • It is important to know the kind of returns you are buying.

Our framework

Know what you're buying

We believe investors need to distinguish between alpha, broad market and factor returns. This allows investors to allocate to genuine alpha opportunities within and across asset classes. And clarity on the sources of returns helps investors measure and understand their aggregated factor exposures while potentially sticking more closely to portfolio objectives by fully accounting for them. Looking at excess returns alone can be deceiving, so we see a need to uncover the factor exposures embedded in them.

See the full picture

A blend of returns should be based on investor objectives, constraints and practicalities. Blending alpha-seeking managers with indexing and factor strategies should occur at a whole-portfolio level rather than within asset class silos. Alpha-seeking strategies with higher expected alpha, net of fees, may entail higher risk. Yet we believe they should not be ruled out even if contributing meaningful market and factor exposures – provided those exposures are accounted for.

Time is money

We believe what matters are returns net of costs. Yet product fees vary widely by client and over time. Governance costs to find and monitor alpha-seeking managers can also be considerable. Fees may lower returns – and alpha. Many investors have limited resources for these activities. Investors with a limited governance budget may opt to oversee just a few alpha-seeking managers – or even keep their entire portfolio in index products.

Key concepts

Factors

Macro and equity style factors are important drivers of returns, both through indexing products and alpha from timing factor returns. It is important to separate this source of return from any alpha-seeking manager’s excess return relative to a benchmark to understand the return being paid for.

Common and pure alpha

Our work seeks to find not just factor-driven returns within excess returns, but also what we call common alpha – a return that appears factor-like but cannot be explained by current macro and style factors. We group this with pure alpha – alpha that can be explained by manager skill alone – for the purposes of attributing alpha.

Returns and fees

What matters are returns net of costs. Product fees cut into returns and can reduce or, in some cases, eliminate the alpha an investor receives. Yet these fees vary widely and change over time. Some index products can also have large fees. Investors should fully account for fees in portfolio construction.

Governance costs

Governance costs – those required to find and manage alpha-seeking managers – are a key consideration. Because costs are negotiable and client specific, our framework for blending alpha and index looks at returns and costs separately.

A refresh post-Covid

We have updated our analysis to include the Covid-19 period -  a natural experiment to see what happened to manager returns through a risk selloff and rebound of unprecedented speed and size. The results reinforce our framework. We found factor exposures played a particularly large role in explaining the month-on-month fluctuations of returns. Risks, returns, costs - the numbers you need to build a portfolio - are variable across asset classes and clients. Blending is a tailored portfolio construction exercise. So it is important to understand the drivers of return, and the costs borne, when building portfolios.

We found alpha-seeking managers were able to use the market volatility through Covid to generate alpha, though this came with higher risk. Factors played an even larger role in the fluctuations of returns in the 2016-2021 period than in our previous work (2012-2017). Yet the importance of consistently picking top managers came into sharper focus. Top-quartile alpha was higher during the Covid-19 period than before, yet we observed that not all managers had a steady ride. For example, high yield managers struggled before recovering due to dislocations specific to the asset class. Managers in top quartiles before Covid-19 also outperformed their peers during Covid-19, pointing to their ability to take advantage of increased volatility.

We double down on our view: investors need to understand the drivers of returns and their costs when building portfolios. Picking and overseeing alpha-seeking managers involves governance costs that can be considerable – and the Covid-19 shock hasn’t changed this.

Jean Boivin
Jean Boivin
Global Head of Research, BlackRock Investment Institute
Jean Boivin, PhD, Managing Director, is the Head of the BlackRock Investment Institute (BII). He is responsible for harnessing BlackRock’s investment expertise and ...
Lisa O’Connor
Investment Head, BlackRock Model Portfolio Solutions
Simona Paravani-Mellinghoff
Global Head of Investments, BlackRock Client Portfolio Solutions