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FOR INSTITUTIONAL PRACTITIONERS

Investment Directions

This edition focuses on the growing need for diversification and return enhancement through alternative assets like infrastructure. We also explore liquidity management strategies amid high interest rates, highlighting opportunities in private credit and an active approach to fixed income.

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Opportunities in Infrastructure Opportunities in Fixed Income

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IN FOCUS

Financing the future through infrastructure

Infrastructure is set to become one of the fastest-growing private market segments.¹ Societies are grappling with various infrastructure challenges, including energy security pressures and the low-carbon transition, demographic change (such as population growth in emerging markets) and urbanisation, realigning supply chains, and the computing and energy infrastructure needed to power AI.

Significant capital is also needed to renew ageing infrastructure in developed markets (DM) – a challenge exacerbated by high public debt levels for DM governments, meaning private capital will play a critical role in funding infrastructure investment.

Explore how these trends are shaping the future of infrastructure investing and the opportunities they present for institutional practitioners.

Data centre demand is expected to grow at a 12-15% CAGR by 2030

Global data centre capacity in gigawatts (GW), 2023-2030

Chart shows growth of data centres due to AI uplift with 12-15& CAGR by 2030

Source: McKinsey AI Trends October 2024, BlackRock Investment Institute November 2024 and Bain & Co April 2024. Note: there can be no assurances that any forecasts or estimates will materialize or that any market trends will continue.

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Managing liabilities and yield targets through fixed income

As we enter 2025, the US economy remains on solid footing despite higher-than-expected interest rates. The AI investment boom and loose fiscal policy have supported growth, keeping inflation relatively elevated. Proposed US tariff and immigration policies are expected to keep inflation sticky, even as growth moderates, and the USD remains higher for longer. In contrast, Europe faces downside risks to growth, with weak PMIs and rising trade uncertainty, yet rates remain significantly higher than in the past decade. We expect mega forces to keep inflation and rates structurally elevated – a hallmark of the new regime.

In this new regime of structurally higher rates, we outline three compelling opportunities in fixed income for institutional practitioners:

Locking in yields through LDI (Liability-driven investing) in a high-rate environment where funding ratios are more positive.
Getting more dynamic in fixed income, to capture higher alpha information ratios than in equities through an active approach, and diversifying into private credit.
Using fixed-maturity exposures to manage liquidity for private markets allocations.

Explore the investment directions for fixed income including three portfolio case studies:

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¹ BlackRock, Jan 2024

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