BlackRock Latin American Investment Trust plc

About this investment trust

Capital at risk. The value of investments and the income from them can fall as well as rise and are not guaranteed. Investors may not get back the amount originally invested.

The Company aims to secure long-term capital growth and an attractive total return primarily through investing in quoted securities in Latin America.

Why choose it?

Latin American countries hold a wealth of opportunities for long-term investors keen to participate in the region's growth and diversity. Our experienced team draws on its extensive network in the region to uncover the most compelling opportunities across a variety of countries and sectors.

Diversification and asset allocation may not fully protect you from market risk.

Suited to…

Investors with a long-term horizon who want to include Latin American shares in their portfolio and are able to tolerate periods of market volatility in pursuit of capital growth. This means shares prices may rise and fall more frequently.

What are the risks?

• Capital at risk. The value of investments and the income from them can fall as well as rise and are not guaranteed. Investors may not get back the amount originally invested.
• Overseas investment will be affected by movements in currency exchange rates.
• Emerging market investments are usually associated with higher investment risk than developed market investments. Therefore the value of these investments may be unpredictable and subject to greater variation.
• Investment strategies, such as borrowing, used by the Trust can result in even larger losses suffered when the value of the underlying investments fall.

Useful information

Capital at risk. The value of investments and the income from them can fall as well as rise and are not guaranteed. Investors may not get back the amount originally invested.

Fees & Charges

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ESG Integration

The fund noted above does not commit to sustainable criteria nor does it have a sustainable investment objective.

BlackRock considers many investment risks in our processes. In order to seek the best risk-adjusted returns for our clients, we manage material risks and opportunities that could impact portfolios, including financially material Environmental, Social and/or Governance (ESG) data or information, where available. See our Firm Wide ESG Integration Statement for more information on this approach and fund documentation for how these material risks are considered within this product, where applicable.

Fund manager commentary

30 September 2024

Comments from the Portfolio Managers

Please note that the commentary below includes historic information in respect of the performance of portfolio investments, index performance data and the Company’s NAV and share performance.

The figures shown relate to past performance. Past Performance is not a reliable indicator of current or future results.

The Company’s NAV fell -3.6% in September, underperforming the benchmark, MSCI Emerging Markets Latin America Index, which returned -1.9% on a net basis over the same period. All performance figures are in sterling terms with dividends reinvested.¹

Emerging Markets rallied +6.4%, significantly outpacing Developed Markets (+1.7%) in September, driven by an improving macro backdrop across regions. The Federal Reserve (the Fed) began its easing cycle a 50bps cut, signalling that they are comfortable with the outlook for inflation and focusing on the recently weakening labour market data. The performance for Emerging Markets in general was further bolstered by stimulus hopes in China towards the end of the month. Latin America lagged Emerging Markets and finished the month flat (-0.1%), driven by negative returns in Brazil (-1.0%) and Colombia (-5.2%). Brazil's Copom (monetary policy committee) moved opposite to the Fed's more dovish action by raising rates 25bps to 10.75% to address the recent increase in inflation expectations on the back of fiscal concerns. This has dampened the effects of US easing and China stimulus. Mexico gained +1.1% in September as the central bank cut rates by 25bps but refrained from providing too much forward guidance on the back of uncertainty surrounding both domestic and external factors impacting growth. It is worth mentioning that AMLO's (Andrés Manuel López Obrador) judicial reform was passed, though attention has now shifted to president-elect Sheinbaum's anticipated inauguration speech and the shape of her policy agenda.

At the portfolio level, an off-benchmark exposure to engineering solutions provider Seatrium, and security selection in Chile, were the key positive contributors to performance. On the other hand, stock picking in Brazil and Mexico hurt us over the month.

From a security lens, an underweight position to NU Holdings was the biggest contributor to performance over the month. The company was added to the MSCI Emerging Markets Latin America Index during the August 2024 index review, but the share price has declined since, likely due to its elevated valuation. Another positive contributor was Seatrium, the Singapore based engineering solutions provider which is building offshore oil equipment for Brazilian state-owned oil producer, Petrobras. Our overweight position to Brazilian retailer, Renner, also helped performance for the second month in a row. Brazilian iron ore producer, Vale, was another strong performer on the back of stimulus hopes from China and recently upgrading their full year production outlook.

On the flipside, an overweight position to Brazilian stock exchange, B3, detracted from performance during the month, primarily due to the recent 25bps rate hike by the Brazilian central bank. Our overweight position in the Brazilian supermarket chain, Assai, was another detractor. As a highly leveraged company, Assai’s performance has been negatively impacted by the rate hike in Brazil. Azzas 2154 also detracted. The Brazilian footwear retailer recently merged with fashion retailer, Soma. As part of the merger, some executives have recently left the firm, which has created some noise among investors. However, we do not see this development as central to the future success of the business.

We made some changes to the portfolio in September. We continued to reduce our overall exposure to Brazil, trimming our holding in Petrobras to reflect concerns around increasing global oil supply amid tepid demand. We rotated some exposure from Bradesco into XP due to relative performance. We exited off-benchmark holding, Copa Airlines, reflecting analyst conviction. We increased our exposure to Mexico, as the macroeconomic setup still looks favourable with a good external balance and high carry, by re-initiating a position in convenience store operator, FEMSA.

Mexico is the largest portfolio overweight as at the end of September. Multi-country appears as our second largest overweight due to an off-benchmark holding in engineering solutions provider, Seatrium. On the other hand, the largest underweight is Panama. The second largest portfolio underweight is Peru due to its political and economic uncertainty.

Outlook

We remain optimistic about the outlook for Latin America. The start of the Fed's easing cycle should be supportive for Latin America, particularly amid reassurance that the 50bps cut was to pre-emptively manage slowing growth and labour dynamics. Whilst the September index performance has been mixed, we maintain conviction that fundamentals remain robust and that stronger growth, now coupled with greater policy flexibility, may result in reduced risk premia. In addition, the whole region is benefitting from being relatively isolated from global geopolitical conflicts. We believe that this may lead to both an increase in foreign direct investment and an increase in allocation from investors across the region.

In Brazil, whilst, contra to our initial thesis, the central bank embarked on a tightening phase to get ahead of persistent inflation, we are still excited about the bottom-up opportunities within the market as earnings have been strong across sectors. Real rates remain high and if policy makers are able to stem investor concerns surrounding recent fiscal slippage, we would expect to see a reversal in monetary policy that would drive the top down support we have patiently been waiting for. We have trimmed risk at the margin, particularly in the more rate sensitive exposures, and would look to add as rates peak once again.

We remain positive on the outlook for the Mexican economy as it is a key beneficiary of the friend-shoring of global supply chains. Mexico remains defensive as both fiscal and the current accounts are in order. The outcome of the presidential elections in early June has created a lot of volatility for Mexican financial assets, with the Peso depreciating significantly. Investors are concerned that the landslide win of president-elect Sheinbaum and the Morena party will result in reduced checks and balances for the government. The passing of the controversial judicial reform in early September is a good example of this. We are certainly concerned about the implications of the reform for judicial independence. We have visited Mexico in the week after the election to meet with investors, business owners and political advisors. Our conclusion from that trip is that we believe the government will remain relatively pragmatic and fiscally prudent, as it has been during AMLO’s term. We have therefore used the market correction to add to certain positions.

Source: Unless otherwise stated all data is sourced from BlackRock as at 30 September 2024.

¹Source: BlackRock as at 30 September 2024

Any opinions or forecasts represent an assessment of the market environment at a specific time and are not intended to be a forecast of future events or a guarantee of future results.

This information should not be relied upon by the reader as research, investment advice or a recommendation.

Risk: Reference to the names of each company mentioned in this communication is merely for explaining the investment strategy, and should not be construed as investment advice or investment recommendation of those companies.

Portfolio manager biographies

Capital at risk. The value of investments and the income from them can fall as well as rise and are not guaranteed. Investors may not get back the amount originally invested.

Sam Vecht is lead manager of the BlackRock Latin American Investment Trust plc. He is Head of the Emerging Europe, Frontiers and LatAm team within the Fundamental Active Equity division of BlackRock's Active Equities Group and is responsible for managing long-only and long/short portfolios in both Emerging and Frontier markets. He is also co-manager of the BlackRock Frontiers Investment Trust plc. Sam joined BlackRock in 2000 in the Global Emerging Markets Team. He has a degree in International Relations and History.

Christoph Brinkmann is deputy manager of the BlackRock Latin American Investment Trust plc. He is Vice President in the Global Emerging Markets Equities Team who has covered multiple sectors and countries across the Latin American region. He joined BlackRock in 2015 after graduating from the University of Cologne with a Masters in Finance and a CEMS Masters in International Management.

Board of directors

Carolan Dobson (Chairman) was appointed as a Director on 1 January 2016 and as Chairman on 2 March 2017. She is the former Head of UK Equities at Abbey Asset Managers and former Head of Investment Trusts at Murray Johnstone and therefore brings a wealth of industry experience to the Board. She is currently Non-Executive Chairman of Brunner Investment Trust plc and Baillie Gifford UK Growth Fund plc.

Craig Cleland was appointed as a Director on 1 January 2019 and Chairman of the Audit Committee from 31 March 2019. He is Head of Corporate Development/Investment Trusts at CQS (UK) LLP, a multi-asset asset management firm in London with a focus on credit markets, where his responsibilities include advising and developing the closed-end fund business. He is also a Director of Invesco Perpetual Select Trust plc and the CC Japan Income & Growth Trust plc and was formerly a Director of Martin Currie Asia Unconstrained Trust plc. He was previously at JPMorgan Asset Management (UK) Limited, latterly as Managing Director, and led their technical groups in the investment trust business. Prior to that, he was a Director and Senior Company Secretary at Fleming Investment Trust Management, transferring to JPMorgan Asset Management after Chase Manhattan Bank acquired Robert Fleming Holdings Limited.

Laurie Meister was appointed as a Director on 1 February 2020. Ms Meister has 32 years of financial markets experience, both in New York and in London, with 28 years dedicated to having led and developed Latin American equity and capital markets businesses and other emerging markets. Her most recent position was as the Director of Latin American equity sales for European institutional clients for Deutsche Bank from 2008 to 2018. Prior to this she worked for J.P. Morgan Chase as a Director with responsibility for rebuilding the Cemea (Central and Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa) equity business and then became the Senior European Equity Director for their Latin American equity business. Her initial experiences in the Latin American equity arena included the European start up in the early 1990s of the Merrill Lynch Latin American research sales operation. She then moved as a Managing Director to Robert Flemings in 1995 where she co-led the start-up of their Latin American trading sales and research operations across the region. Ms Meister has a B.A. from the University of Pennsylvania and an M.B.A. in Finance from the New York University Stern School.

Nigel Webber was appointed as a Director on 1 April 2017. Mr Webber’s broad investment experience has seen him lead the design of investment solutions for affluent and high-net-worth individuals across global markets and multiple asset classes. Most recently, he was Global Chief Investment Officer for HSBC Private Banking where he held global responsibility for all investment activity for Group Private Banking. During his time at HSBC, Mr Webber was also Chairman of the Global Investment Committee for Group Private Bank and Chairman for HSBC Alternative Investments Limited. Prior to this, he held a number of blue-chip executive positions around the world for investment and asset management businesses. He is also a qualified accountant.